Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000698 0.000793 0.000894 0.001009 0.001135 0.001269 0.001423
2025-08-24 0.000531 0.000660 0.000807 0.000984 0.001191 0.001423 0.001703
2025-08-31 0.000433 0.000574 0.000742 0.000953 0.001209 0.001508 0.001879
2025-09-07 0.000373 0.000523 0.000708 0.000950 0.001254 0.001619 0.002086
2025-09-14 0.000328 0.000483 0.000682 0.000951 0.001299 0.001726 0.002285
2025-09-21 0.000287 0.000444 0.000652 0.000942 0.001326 0.001810 0.002456
2025-09-28 0.000250 0.000406 0.000620 0.000926 0.001342 0.001877 0.002603
2025-10-05 0.000233 0.000394 0.000621 0.000952 0.001413 0.002015 0.002845
2025-10-12 0.000216 0.000379 0.000616 0.000971 0.001472 0.002139 0.003071
2025-10-19 0.000193 0.000354 0.000594 0.000962 0.001493 0.002210 0.003227
2025-10-26 0.000172 0.000328 0.000569 0.000947 0.001503 0.002266 0.003364
2025-11-02 0.000159 0.000315 0.000562 0.000957 0.001548 0.002370 0.003567
2025-11-09 0.000145 0.000299 0.000550 0.000959 0.001581 0.002460 0.003753
2025-11-16 0.000126 0.000272 0.000517 0.000928 0.001565 0.002478 0.003840
2025-11-23 0.000109 0.000248 0.000488 0.000900 0.001550 0.002497 0.003927
2025-11-30 0.000099 0.000235 0.000476 0.000897 0.001574 0.002571 0.004094
2025-12-07 0.000091 0.000224 0.000466 0.000898 0.001603 0.002653 0.004273
2025-12-14 0.000082 0.000211 0.000451 0.000889 0.001615 0.002711 0.004417
2025-12-21 0.000073 0.000196 0.000433 0.000874 0.001616 0.002751 0.004536
2025-12-28 0.000070 0.000194 0.000439 0.000899 0.001683 0.002892 0.004807
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000191 0.000440 0.000917 0.001738 0.003016 0.005054
2026-01-11 0.000060 0.000180 0.000427 0.000908 0.001750 0.003072 0.005201
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000168 0.000411 0.000894 0.001751 0.003112 0.005322